Proverbs 17:28 and All Missouri Girls Basketball Ratings - February 24th, 2021

Proverbs 17:28

If you are a bible reader, you know what this scripture means.  I actually thought that Mark Twain or Abe Lincoln quoted or coined this phrase but historians have since debunked these myths.  My wife tells me I need to be careful what I write.  My daughter often chastises me for some of my blogs.  One of my favorite quotes used to be "Behold the fool, he who opens his mouth".   It came to mind last night after listening to a podcast that was devoid of any facts or solid research.  I didn't waste my time listening to the whole thing.  I was watching an HGTV show with my wife so at least part of the time was not wasted.

I am getting more exposure at Missouri Girls State Rankings (810varsity.com) with my Missouri boys and girls top 20 lists.  SCOREBOARD GUY (@scoreboardguy) / Twitter has been retweeting my ratings and giving them more exposure.  Now, Bill Gunn has added my predictions to his MoSports (rivals.com).  This isn't exposure... it might be over-exposure.  LOL  

Proverbs 17:28

I try to base my ratings on game data, but teams betray me.  They don't always play to form.  By putting out a blog with ratings, I expose myself to rejection.  I told one of the coaches who messages me after they win a game by the exact spread that I predicted..."When all is said and done, there will only be 12 coaches who like my ratings.  The coaches whose teams win boys and girls state championships".  Everyone else will think these ratings are bogus.

But I try.  Most basketball polls are opinion-based, not statistically based.  I will be wrong at least 25% of the time, especially when the spread is under 10 rating points.  And as the championship season progresses, I will be wrong more often until those final games, when you can flip a coin and do as well as my predictions.

Proverbs 17:28.  Check it out.

Here are my All-Missouri Girls basketball ratings for the 526 MSHSAA teams.  My top 20 by class ratings are over at News (810varsity.com):

All Missouri Boys ratings are at In God we Trust, All Others bring data - All Missouri Boys team ratings February 24th, 2021 (gramps2021missourihoops.blogspot.com) 


Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Missouri Boys class one high school basketball ratings 12/22/2020

Image
 Class one clearly belongs to the vaunted South Iron squad.  The only thing keeping the Panthers from winning a state championship trophy this year would be the pandemic, which could, unfortunately, end the season at any time. Last year, Dora "upset" the Panthers in the sectional game.  I honestly believe that South Iron would beat Dora this year, except that Dora was moved to class two and Coach Luna and his four sons are now in Viola Arkansas and Isaac Haney transferred to Kickapoo.  South Iron's coach Dinkins has taken on an aggressive schedule with Vashon, CBC, Cardinal Ritter, Helias, and several other top-rated schools in class five and six.  Hats off to the Panthers for taking on the big dogs. In class two, Dora will be lucky to win ten games.  I don't know the specifics on Rick Luna's firing last spring but the school board's kids are getting a lot of playing time this season with the Luna family in Arkansas and Haney gone to Kickapoo.  Viola, ...
Read more

Missouri Boys High School Basketball Ratings - All Classes 12/07/2020

On this 79th anniversary of Pearl Harbor Day, let us remember the brave men and women who gave their lives for our great country. I posted Pre-Season rankings for Boys and Girls Missouri High School teams in mid-November.  A bunch of Thanksgiving and early December tournaments have provided me with data to populate the statistics for a robust ranking.  Robust it is not.  I won't have a good handle on team ratings until the end of December when most teams should have five or six games under their belt. I am still waiting for MSHSAA to post classifications and district assignments, so I will not post class rankings until that info is known. The other day, I noticed that the esteemed Earl Austin, Jr. had apologized on Twitter for omitting a great performance by an up and coming sophomore, after an outstanding performance.  I didn't think he should need to apologize.  When you think about all the kids and games he is watching on the tube, there is only so much that ...
Read more

VPS as a metric for winning seasons - March 29th, 2021

Image
  Premise:   If VPS (Value Point System) directly correlates to a team’s winning percentage, why not use it as a metric to drive team improvement? What is VPS?   VPS stands for Value Point System.   It is calculated by adding the points and rebounds plus two times the Assists, Charges taken, Steals and Blocks and dividing that product by the Number of Free Throw misses plus two times the Field Goal misses plus Fouls and Turnovers. Most players focus on two things, scoring, and sometimes, rebounding.   Kids grow up with parents asking, “how many points did you get today”?   The emphasis is on scoring, but scoring is only part of the game.   If more emphasis was placed upon passing, shot selection and defense, individuals would be more likely to contribute to a team-oriented game rather than accumulating points. The best player on the team is not necessarily the top scorer.   The best player of the team is the player who gets high percenta...
Read more